Pending Home Sales Slip in June

After reaching the highest level in over six years, pending home sales declined in June, with rising mortgage interest rates beginning to impact the market, according to the National Association of Realtors.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, edged down 1/2 percent to  in June fr, but is 10 percent higher than June 2012; the data reflect contracts but not closings.  Pending sales have been above year-ago levels for the past 26 months, and the pace in May was the highest since December 2006.

NAR’s chief economist, said higher home prices and interest rates are beginning to impact affordability, notably in high-cost regions.  “Mortgage interest rates began to rise in May, taking some of the momentum out of contract activity in June,” he said.  “The persistent lack of inventory also is contributing to lower contract signings.”

He notes not all contracts go to closing.  “There are some home-buyers who sign contracts with strong lender commitment letters, but have floating mortgage interest rates.  Those rates can be locked as late as 10 to 14 days before closing, so some home-buyers may change their minds if the rate rises too much, which apparently happened with some sales scheduled to close in June,” he said.  “Closed sales may edge down a bit in the months ahead, but they’ll stay above year-ago levels.”

Based on year-to-date sales activity, and stable contract signings expected for the balance of the year, NAR projects existing-home sales to rise more than 8 percent in 2013.  Inventory shortages will lead the median price to rise by nearly 11 percent this year.


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